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Stephen Taylor

Canadian Political Data

Election results, polling and demographics for every level of Canadian government: the House of Commons, all 13 provincial and territorial legislatures, and major city councils. Explore riding and poll-by-poll maps, follow the polls in every province, and see how the places that vote differently differ.

Federal riding, provincial district and municipal ward, each linked to its results map.

Calendar

Elections across Canada

Federal, provincial and municipal elections, referendums and census releases, from what was just decided to what's next.

Polling

The polls, everywhere they're taken

An average of published polls for Parliament, each provincial and territorial legislature with recent polling, and the mayoral races in Toronto and Vancouver. Every jurisdiction gets the same space; select one for its full polling history.

How to read these charts. Each line is an average of published polls. Every poll is weighted by how recent it is (a Gaussian kernel with a three-week bandwidth), by the square root of its sample size (600 when a poll doesn’t report one, capped at 3,000), and so that a pollster that publishes often doesn’t outweigh the rest. The shaded band is the spread of recent polls: one weighted standard deviation either side of the average. It is not a margin of error or a confidence interval. Dots are individual polls, and lines break where a party went more than three months between polls. Averages restart after each election; a tile says so when a jurisdiction has voted since its last poll or hasn’t been polled in four months.

Polls are compiled from Wikipedia’s opinion polling tables and the averages are updated daily. Data as of October 9, 2026.

How the polling averages work: which polls count, how they’re weighted, and what the bands mean.

British Columbia seat projection: the polling average translated into seats and each riding’s chances, ahead of the 24 October 2026 election.

Legislatures

Every legislature at a glance

Who won the last general election in each of Canada's 14 legislatures, by how many seats, and when each votes next.

Canada2025
Liberal minority
169 of 343 seatsHouse of Commons
Votes Oct 15, 2029
British Columbia2024
NDP majority
47 of 93 seats
Votes Oct 24
Alberta2023
United Conservative majority
49 of 87 seats
Votes Oct 18, 2027
Saskatchewan2024
Saskatchewan Party majority
34 of 61 seats
Manitoba2023
NDP majority
34 of 57 seats
Votes Oct 5, 2027
Ontario2025
Progressive Conservative majority
80 of 124 seats
Quebec2026
Parti Québécois minority
59 of 127 seats
New Brunswick2024
Liberal majority
31 of 49 seats
Nova Scotia2024
Progressive Conservative majority
43 of 55 seats
Prince Edward Island2023
Progressive Conservative majority
22 of 27 seats
Votes Oct 4, 2027
Newfoundland and Labrador2025
Progressive Conservative majority
21 of 40 seats
Yukon2025
Yukon Party majority
14 of 21 seats
Northwest Territories2023
Consensus government
19 members
Votes Oct 5, 2027
Nunavut2025
Consensus government
22 members

Seats won at each legislature’s most recent general election; the black tick marks a majority. By-elections, floor crossings and resignations since then aren’t reflected. The Northwest Territories and Nunavut use consensus government, without parties.

Analysis

Demographics and the vote

How the 2025 federal vote in each of the 343 ridings lines up with who lives there, from the 2021 Census. Choose a measure and a party to compare.

  • Winner
  • Liberal
  • Conservative
  • NDP
  • Bloc Québécois
  • Green

342 ridings · r = −0.55

0102030405060708090Conservative share of the vote (%)102030405060708090Households that rent (% of households) →

Across 342 ridings, the Conservative share falls as the share of households that rent rises (r = −0.55).

Each dot is a riding, not a voter: the pattern describes places, not how individuals voted. Census figures are from 2021; the votes were cast in April 2025. The line is a local (LOESS) trend; r measures how closely the ridings follow a straight line, from −1 to 1. One riding with no Conservative candidate is left out.

Sources: Elections Canada (2025 results); Statistics Canada, 2021 Census, aggregated from dissemination areas to the 2023 ridings. Income and median age are riding averages of neighbourhood medians, so they are approximate.

Data table

The data

What you can explore here

  • Federal elections

    Riding and poll-by-poll results for every general election since 2000, 64 by-elections since 2005, and Conservative and Liberal leadership races mapped by riding.

  • Provincial and territorial elections

    All 13 provinces and territories, with riding and poll-level maps, polling histories and provincial party leadership races.

  • Municipal elections

    Ward and poll-level results for Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Ottawa, Windsor, London and Niagara Falls, including mayoral and school trustee races.

  • Census

    Twenty topics from the 2021 Census, from income and housing to language and commuting, mapped by federal riding, postal code area and neighbourhood, with earlier censuses for comparison.

  • Find my riding

    Look up the federal riding, provincial district and municipal ward for any Canadian address or postal code.

About

Where the data comes from

Results come from Elections Canada, the provincial and territorial election agencies, and municipal open data. Polls are compiled from the polling tables on Wikipedia and refreshed every morning. Census figures are from Statistics Canada, and address lookups use Statistics Canada’s National Address Register. Prediction market odds come from Polymarket.

Built and maintained by Stephen Taylor. Spotted an error in a map or a result? Every page lists its data source; corrections are welcome.