Manitoba Elections
Polling History
The NDP leads the Progressive Conservatives by 31 points in the most recent poll, from September 14, 2026. How the average works
Average: NDP 60%, PC 29%, Liberal 7%.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | NDP | PC | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | Abacus Data | 1,000 | 60 | 29 | 7 |
| Jun 8 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 55 | 32 | 8 |
| Mar 17 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 55 | 35 | 6 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 53 | 32 | 9 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Angus Reid | 315 | 45 | 46 | 7 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 53 | 34 | 8 |