Vancouver Elections
Polling History — 2026 Vancouver Mayoral Race
Fry leads Sim by 11 points in the average of polls up to September 11, 2026. How the average works
Average: Fry 40%, Sim 29%, Hardwick 11%, Allam 11%, Bligh 5%.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | Fry | Sim | Hardwick | Allam | Bligh |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | Justason | – | 45 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
| Aug 1 | Research Co. | – | 19 | 30 | 14 | 19 | 7 |
| Jul 24 | Pallas Data | – | 18.1 | 13.8 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 2.9 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Mainstreet Research | 1,207 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Mainstreet Research | 961 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 19 | – |
Prediction Markets
2026 Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Data from Polymarket. Prices reflect implied probability. Not financial advice.