Mostly certain:

– Prime Minister Stephen Harper

– Flaherty to stay in Finance (confirmed by numerous people in the department)

– Baird moving (confirmed)

– Clement moving

– Guergis moving (family has flown in, and hair appointment booked early AM tomorrow apparently)

– Bernier not in cabinet

– Aglukkaq in cabinet

– Prentice staying in Industry (no indication of a move from bureaucrats or political staffers up until midnight)

– Lunn moving (family has flown in)

– Verner moving

– MacKay stays in defence

– a good number of Secretaries of State named

Responsibly speculative:

– Cannon in foreign affairs (heard this from a high level source on Tuesday night)

– Kenney at CIC

– Nicholson stays in Justice

– Strahl stays at INAC

– Clement in trade

– Baird in transport

– Verner to intergovernmental affairs

– Ambrose to HRSDC

– Shea or Duncan in Fisheries

– Raitt in cabinet

– James Moore promoted

Wildly and so irresponsibly speculative:

– Raitt to get NRCan (doubtful)

– Liberal crosses the floor and enters cabinet (sourced at a high level, but I don’t see it happening. Yet, a number of Liberals staffers have been confirming they’ve heard the same rumour for days)

– Rob Moore in cabinet