2023 Alberta Provincial Election

Election Overview

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Albertans went to the polls on May 29, 2023, in one of the most closely watched provincial elections in the province's history. Premier Danielle Smith, who had taken over the United Conservative Party (UCP) leadership just seven months earlier following Jason Kenney's resignation, sought her first popular mandate. She faced NDP leader Rachel Notley, who had served as premier from 2015 to 2019 and remained as Leader of the Opposition after her party's defeat. All 87 electoral divisions were contested, with redrawn boundaries from a 2016 redistribution. The writ was dropped on May 1, setting a 28-day campaign.

The election took place against the backdrop of an unprecedented wildfire emergency. Over 108 wildfires burned across the province during the campaign, displacing more than 38,000 residents from 13 communities across six electoral districts. Campaigning was suspended in several ridings, and Elections Alberta expanded special ballot access for displaced voters and firefighters. Despite the disruptions, the election proceeded on schedule.

Results

The UCP won 49 of 87 seats with 52.6% of the popular vote, securing the narrowest majority government in Alberta's electoral history. The NDP won 38 seats with 44.0% of the popular vote — a gain of 14 seats and over 11 percentage points from their 2019 result. No other party won a seat. The Green Party placed a distant third in vote share, while the Alberta Liberal Party recorded its lowest result in history. Turnout was 59.5%, down from 67.5% in 2019, though a record 758,640 electors voted in advance polls.

The urban-rural divide was stark. The NDP swept all 20 Edmonton ridings and won 14 of 26 Calgary ridings, up from just 3 in 2019. In Calgary, the NDP edged the UCP in popular vote, 49.3% to 48.2%. Outside the two major cities, the UCP dominated with 63.4% of the vote, losing only Banff—Kananaskis, where NDP candidate Sarah Elmeligi won by a margin of less than one percentage point. The election was fundamentally decided in Calgary, where the NDP gained 11 seats — the largest regional swing in the province.

Party Leaders

Danielle Smith (UCP) — Smith studied English and economics at the University of Calgary before working as a journalist and political commentator. She entered politics as leader of the Wildrose Party in 2009, building it into the Official Opposition. In December 2014, she led herself and eight other Wildrose MLAs across the floor to join Jim Prentice's Progressive Conservatives — a move that proved politically disastrous when all floor-crossers who sought re-election in 2015 lost their seats. Smith spent the following years in talk radio and as president of the Alberta Enterprise Group. After Kenney announced his resignation as UCP leader in May 2022, Smith entered the leadership race and won on the sixth ballot on October 6, 2022, with 53.8% of the vote, defeating former finance minister Travis Toews. She was sworn in as premier on October 11, 2022, and entered the Legislature through a by-election.

Rachel Notley (NDP) — The daughter of former Alberta NDP leader Grant Notley, Rachel Notley earned a political science degree from the University of Alberta and a law degree from Osgoode Hall Law School. She worked as a labour lawyer specializing in workers' compensation before winning the Edmonton-Strathcona riding in 2008. She won the NDP leadership in October 2014 with 70% of the vote. In 2015, she led the NDP to a majority government, ending 44 consecutive years of Progressive Conservative rule and becoming Alberta's 17th premier. After losing to Kenney's UCP in 2019, Notley stayed on as opposition leader and rebuilt the party's support heading into 2023.

Campaign Issues

Healthcare dominated the campaign. Alberta was experiencing a shortage of family physicians and long emergency room wait times. The NDP promised to recruit 1,500 healthcare professionals, offer $10,000 signing bonuses for healthcare workers, and create family health teams. The UCP pledged increased school-based healthcare support and reforms to the Alberta Health Services governance structure.

Affordability and the economy were closely linked concerns. The UCP pledged a new 8% income tax bracket for those earning under $60,000 — representing approximately $1 billion in foregone revenue — and extended the fuel tax holiday through December 2023. The NDP promised to expand the petrochemical sector and reduce energy project approval wait times, positioning themselves as pro-development while contrasting their approach to public services.

The Alberta Sovereignty Act was a major flashpoint. Introduced by Smith in the fall of 2022, the legislation gave the Legislature power to declare federal laws unconstitutional or harmful and direct provincial entities not to enforce them. Critics — including former premier Kenney, constitutional scholars, and Alberta's treaty chiefs — argued it exceeded provincial jurisdiction. The NDP pledged to repeal it. The act had been amended before passage to remove a provision that would have allowed cabinet to bypass the Legislature and rewrite laws unilaterally, but it remained deeply controversial.

Notable Outcomes

The closest race in the province was Calgary-Acadia, where NDP candidate Diana Batten defeated former health minister Tyler Shandro by just 7 votes on election night. After two recounts — including a judicial recount — Batten prevailed by 22 votes. Several other UCP cabinet ministers were defeated, including Jason Copping in Calgary-Varsity, Nicholas Milliken in Calgary-Currie, and Kaycee Madu in Edmonton-South West.

Banff—Kananaskis was a notable flip, reflecting a geographic divide between strong NDP support in western Bow Valley communities like Canmore and Banff and UCP strength in eastern ranching communities. The result represented a remarkable political comeback for Danielle Smith, who had been widely written off after the 2014 floor-crossing, and cemented Alberta's evolution into a competitive two-party system after decades of one-party dominance.