2019 Alberta Provincial Election

Election Overview

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Jason Kenney's United Conservative Party won a commanding majority on April 16, 2019, capturing 63 of 87 seats and ending Rachel Notley's four-year NDP government. The election drew the highest voter turnout since 1971 at 67.5%, with a record 1.9 million ballots cast. The writ had been dropped on March 19, setting a 28-day campaign defined by debates over pipelines, the carbon tax, and Alberta's economic future.

The UCP itself was barely two years old, formed from the July 2017 merger of the Progressive Conservatives and the Wildrose Party — a project engineered by Kenney specifically to consolidate the province's centre-right vote. The merger had been approved by 95% of members from both legacy parties, and Kenney won the inaugural UCP leadership on October 28, 2017, with 61% of the vote over former Wildrose leader Brian Jean. The result validated Kenney's thesis that a united conservative movement could reclaim power from the NDP.

Results

The UCP won 63 seats with 54.9% of the popular vote — the largest first-election result for a new party in Alberta history. The NDP won 24 seats with 32.7%, losing 30 of their 54 seats from 2015. No other party won a seat, marking the first time since 1993 that only two parties were represented in the Legislature.

The NDP's caucus contracted sharply in geographic terms. They held 19 of 20 Edmonton ridings but won only 3 Calgary seats — Calgary-Buffalo, Calgary-McCall, and Calgary-Mountain View — compared to 15 of 25 in 2015. Outside the two major cities, the NDP retained only Lethbridge-West and St. Albert. The Alberta Party, under former Edmonton mayor Stephen Mandel, attracted 9.1% of the popular vote but failed to win a seat; all three of its incumbents, including former leader Greg Clark in Calgary-Elbow, were defeated. The Alberta Liberals were shut out of the Legislature for the first time since 1967.

Party Leaders

Jason Kenney (UCP) — Born in Oakville, Ontario, Kenney began his career as the first executive director of the Alberta Taxpayers Association before leading the Canadian Taxpayers Federation. Elected as a Reform Party MP for Calgary Southeast in 1997 at age 29, he served 19 years in the House of Commons, holding senior cabinet posts under Stephen Harper including Immigration, Employment, and Defence. In July 2016, he announced he would seek the PC leadership with the explicit goal of merging the party with Wildrose. He won the PC leadership in March 2017, secured the merger vote that July, and then won the UCP leadership that October. He entered the provincial Legislature through a December 2017 by-election in Calgary-Lougheed.

Rachel Notley (NDP) — Notley entered the 2019 campaign as the incumbent premier, defending a record that included Alberta's first carbon tax, a $15 minimum wage, a ban on corporate and union political donations, and vigorous advocacy for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion. A graduate of the University of Alberta and Osgoode Hall Law School, she had practised labour law before entering politics in Edmonton-Strathcona in 2008 and winning the NDP leadership in 2014. Her 2015 victory had ended 44 years of Progressive Conservative rule, but her government faced persistent headwinds from low oil prices and opposition to the carbon tax. She held her seat of Edmonton-Strathcona and remained as Leader of the Opposition.

Stephen Mandel (Alberta Party) — Mandel had served as mayor of Edmonton from 2004 to 2013 before briefly entering provincial politics as a PC cabinet minister under Jim Prentice. He won the Alberta Party leadership in February 2018 with 66% of the vote, hoping to position the party as a centrist alternative. His candidacy was briefly threatened when Elections Alberta declared him ineligible over a missed financial filing deadline, but a court overturned the ban. He finished third in Edmonton-McClung and resigned as leader in June 2019.

David Khan (Alberta Liberal) — A Calgary lawyer whose practice focused on Indigenous law, Khan was the first openly gay leader of a major Alberta political party. Elected Liberal leader in June 2017, he ran in Calgary-Mountain View but finished fourth with 5.6% of the vote as the party was shut out of the Legislature entirely.

Campaign Issues

Pipelines and the energy economy dominated the campaign. The Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, purchased by the federal government from Kinder Morgan for $4.5 billion in 2018, remained unbuilt due to court challenges and opposition from British Columbia. Kenney attacked Notley's strategy of accepting a carbon tax as a quid pro quo for pipeline approval, calling it a failed gamble. He promised a more confrontational posture toward Ottawa and B.C., including potential oil shipment restrictions and a referendum on equalization.

The carbon tax was the single sharpest policy divide. The NDP had introduced a $30-per-tonne economy-wide carbon tax as part of its Climate Leadership Plan. Kenney pledged to repeal it as the first act of a UCP government. Polling consistently showed a majority of Albertans wanted the provincial carbon tax eliminated.

Jobs and the provincial deficit framed the broader economic debate. Alberta's unemployment rate had risen sharply after the 2014 oil crash, and the NDP government ran significant deficits throughout its term. Kenney promised to cut spending, reduce corporate taxes, and eliminate the deficit within his first term. Notley defended her government's investments in schools, hospitals, and infrastructure, arguing that austerity during a downturn would have deepened the recession.

In rural Alberta, the NDP's 2015 farm safety legislation — Bill 6, which extended workers' compensation and occupational safety rules to farms and ranches — remained a source of resentment. Kenney pledged to repeal and replace it with more flexible standards developed in consultation with the agricultural community.

Notable Outcomes

The scale of the UCP victory demonstrated the effectiveness of the conservative merger. The combined PC and Wildrose seat count in 2015 had been 31; Kenney's united party more than doubled that to 63, suggesting the merger attracted new voters beyond simply consolidating the existing base.

Three NDP cabinet ministers lost their seats in northern Alberta: Agriculture Minister Oneil Carlier in Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland, Energy Minister Marg McCuaig-Boyd in Central Peace-Notley, and Children's Services Minister Danielle Larivee in Lesser Slave Lake. The losses reflected the broader collapse of NDP support outside Edmonton and parts of Calgary.

The election also marked the effective end of the Alberta Party experiment. Despite fielding a full slate and winning 9.1% of the vote province-wide, the party's failure to convert any of that support into seats — including the loss of founding MLA Greg Clark — left it without representation or momentum going forward.