Will we see “panicked buying” on the markets?

Thanksgiving day came and went for Canadians as they sat down with their families, ladeled the gravy, passed the potatoes and tucked in the turkey. But as we were under tryptophan’s trance, our neighbours to the south were buoying American stock markets by snapping up shares at a maddening pace. In fact, the Dow Jones by the end of trading was up over 930 points increasing the value of indexed shares by over 11%, the S&P500 was also up over 11% and the NASDAQ up just under 12%. It was a record setting day on the American markets.

So, what does this mean for Canada? While markets in this country were closed on Monday, there stands a excellent chance — absent an unforeseen event — that our markets will see the same frenzied buying that we saw stateside.

And what does this mean for a Prime Minister who has represented himself as a steady hand in turbulent economic times? While Conservatives have historically been electorally handicapped when the economy is poor, a surging market may deliver an economic stimulus for Stephen Harper on election day.

For Canadians, it will indicate some return of confidence to markets and bolstered optimism for this country’s economic outlook. For traders, tomorrow may see a flurry of panicked buying and for more casual bystanders of the market economy, retirement savings may similarly bounce back.

Election day may in fact be bullish. Will it benefit the incumbent Conservative Prime Minister?

Liberal war-room plans “victory party”

The English is a bit more reserved than the French. The English states that it’ll be a victory party which just happens to be on election day whereas the French says that it’s a party of electoral victory!

I suppose victory is how you define it; the invite states that they are celebrating “the victory of our newly-elected Liberal Members of Parliament”.

The Toronto Star stated without irony (since that paper also endorsed the Liberals) that Stephane Dion may snatch the distinction of worst Liberal campaign ever from John Turner and his campaign performance in 1984.

However, as it goes, it’s a victory for democracy and all that… so while Conservatives will also be celebrating, we might just come over and buy a beer for some of our Liberal friends even if it’s going to be a Blue on election night.