Skip to main content

Riding Distribution – Guess who wins?

Stephen Taylor
Riding Distribution – Guess who wins?

Consider the following facts:

The smallest ridings in Canada (by eligible voters) are:

Nunavut – 17,041

For deeper analysis and exclusive posts, subscribe to my Substack.

Labrador – 19,909

Yukon – 20,345

Malpeque – 26,010

Cardigan – 27,656

Egmont – 27,545

Charlottetown – 27,829

Western Arctic – 28,619

These seats are all held by Liberals.

Now, consider a large riding, such as the one won by Rob Nicholson of the Conservative Party:

Niagara Falls – 90,655

There are a few facts that we can derive from this data.

  1. The northern ridings of Nunavut, Western Arctic, Yukon and Labrador (total voters: 85914 is still smaller than the riding of Niagara Falls. These four Liberal seats represent less of the population than the one Conservative MP. Perhaps the north should be one seat?

  1. The other ridings above (from Prince Edward Island) total 109,040 people and thus total too large a population for a single riding. While splitting the province into two ridings would create two ridings totaling 54,520 people each. However this number is still below the average riding size of 72,944 people. The three smallest PEI ridings could amalgamate to form a riding of 81,211 people.

  2. These 8 small ridings (my arbitrary cutoff was 30,000 people) represent a total population of 194,954 people or 2.67x the average riding population (ie. just shy of 3 “real” seats). Meanwhile these tiny ridings represent 8 Liberal votes.

Related Posts

New Senators
Parliament of Canada

New Senators

Newfoundland and Labrador – Fabian Manning Nova Scotia – Fred Dickson, Stephen Greene, Michael L. MacDonald PEI – Mike Duffy New Brunswick – Percy Mockler,…

Senate picks
Parliament of Canada

Senate picks

Newfoundland and Labrador (1 seat) – Fabian Manning Price Edward Island (1 seat) – Mike Duffy Nova Scotia (3 seats) – Dr. John Hamm, Michael MacDonald, Stewart…